Game Tho(ugh)ts

[robbie]

Want to know what I'm thinking about the game? No? Yes? Well now you can just check here. I'm going to put the craziness from my head onto the screen. It'll help me sort out my thoughts and hopefully help me think of a plan to get to the next part of the game and eventually the end. 

11/24/20
People who know I have the idol:
Me
Chris
Molly

Would Chris use this information to throw me under the bus and survive being first boot over there because ultimately, he, Molly, or Trey will go if they go to tribal. They would have to bring in Willow if they want ANY chance of surviving. Part of me wants to do what I did on my last tribe and throw this challenge, vote Nikki out, and try to win the the next one and give Molly/Trey time to save themselves. Chris will have to figure it out himself. I hope he "takes all things into consideration", and finds a way to save himself.

I personally think Chris is more game savvy and since he and Molly have been together the entirety of the game, Molly will be the first boot if they go to tribal. We hate to see it.

Olivia told me that Nikki is the HBIC on this new Rigatoni tribe. After I sink my claws into this tribe, she wont be. Period. You're probably wondering, did I tell Olivia about the idol? Nope. Not yet. I want to see if I can get in where I fit in without having to share this information. It's not that I dont trust Olivia. I just want to make sure she wont be too mad at me. Ultimately, I'm waiting on the right time. I want to make sure she wont be too made if I idol out Nikki. Part of me wants to see if I can get the vote on Bridget. Play the idol on Bridget. Idol out Nikki. AKA Weaken OG Appari. As much as I'd like to keep the idol until merge, if I can use it to get numbers and take control of this game, I will. I am just worried that I wont find the Merge idol and then they will have two idols.

The goal of this part of the game is to gain allies. OG Koror is dead to me. I will still work with them, but at the end of the day, we are going to have to vote each other out. I'm looking for ride or dies to help me do it. Time to work my magic on Genki and Angelica.

[robbie]

12/4/2020

Below is my perception of potential alliances/connections in the game.

Color Legend:
Green - 10 toes down.No Doubt, down 100%, loyal
Red - Not 100 %, Could be, Might be, might not be. Potentially flippable?

Olivia: The Social Queen/Comp Beast
Robbie
Trey
Molly
Angelica
Nikki
Chris
Genki
Kyle

Potential Subtotal: 5 for sure. 8 total?


Robbie: The Sexy One
Olivia
Molly
Trey
Genki
Chris
Michael (Can you believe I'm putting him on here? aljkdnljad)
Nikki
Angelica

Potential subtotal: 4 for sure. 8 total?

Trey: The Homie
Robbie
Olivia
Genki
Kyle
Katelyn
Michael
Molly
Chris

Potential Subtotal: 2 for sure. 8 total?


Molly: The Real One
Robbie
Chris
Genki
Angelica
Olivia
Trey
Willow

Potential subtotal: 5 for sure. 7 total?

Nikki: The Godmother (Godfather)
Michael
Kyle
Olivia
Angelica
Robbie
Katelyn
Willow?

Potential subtotal: 4 for sure. 7 total?

Genki: Rico Suave, The Middle Child
Angelica
Robbie
Willow
Molly
Olivia
Nikki

Potential Subtotal: 2 for sure. 6 total?

Kyle(Socially): The Social butterfly
Everybody
Their Moms

Kyle (Strategically):
Michael
Nikki
Katelyn
Angelica
Willow

Potential subtotal: 3 for sure. 5 total?

Michael: The Double Edged Sword
Kyle
Nikki
Katelyn
Trey
Willow

Potential Subtotal: 3 for sure. 5 total?

Katelyn: The Comp beast, who "sucks" at this game (but not really)- Jbald
Michael
Kyle
Willow
Nikki
Trey

Potential Subtotal: 4 for sure. 5 total? Okay queen! 80%

Angelica: The Busy One (with good stories)
Genki
Willow
Nikki
Robbie
Olivia

Potential subtotal: 2 for sure. 5 total?

Chris: The Serpent🐍
Molly
Robbie
Willow
Trey
Olivia

Potential Subtotal: 1 for sure. 5 total?

Willow: The sweet soul
?
Jesus Christ
Angelica
Katelyn?
Michael
Kyle
Nikki

Potential Subtotal: 2 for sure. 6 total?


What would be super crazy is, if Molly, Chris, and Michael were actually working together and painted this crazy narrative that they dont like each other; but in reality they are working together. Do I think that's happening? No. Do I think it should be...it'd be smart. I could see Michael saying, "I'm going to try to be close with all of the people who "hate me" and say let's not target each other" and try to plot them against each other (By telling Robbie that Chris was targeting him. By telling Trey that Molly and Chris were targeting him). Do I think he's doing that? No. That'd be smart, except that would also be dumb because we for sure would compare notes; but that could have been a dope move. 

I need to keep all of these things mind. I need to turn my reds into greens and really work on the people who feel on the bottom and the outs. If I can make each of them feel like I'm their number one, I'll be in a goooood spot. I need to start building up an army that's loyal to me, so I can use them later. 

I'll quote Kass again, "Don't worry about the people at the top. You know where their votes are going. It's the people at the bottom you need to worry about."

That's been my strategy so far in this game:
Take a back seat.
Let other people be bigger targets.
Keep bigger targets than myself in the game (for now).
Work my social game.
Dont try to win comps in the beginning(giving people a reason to want to target me.
Get in good with the little people.

[robbie]

12/7/2020

If this happens,  That could happen: 

If Nikki goes tonight:  
It brings Angelica closer to me
It brings Kyle/Michael closer to me
It's revenge for Olivia
Somebody from Koror has to go Next. That's what I promised Angelica.

If somebody from Koror goes,  I'd rather it be Chris. Here's Why (Pros): 
He's a great player. 
He doesn't have as many allies at the moment.
He is good at challenges
It will bring Molly closer to me.
It makes me more credible with Angelica

Cons:
Molly feels isolated. 
People might want to vote Molly Next.
I lose an ally that doesn't have very many other places to go, therefore they aren't targeting me. 

If Chris goes, I'll have the following people who want to work with me (Green = 100%,  Red = Maybe?)
Molly
Trey
Genki
Angelica
Michael 
Kyle


At this point, there will be 9 people left in the game. 

I for sure will not vote Chris out. I need that jury vote. 

The votes to get Chris out (IF he doesn't win individual immunity) are: 
Michael
Kyle
Katelyn
Willow
Angelica
Genki

I would tell Chris that he's going to be the vote though. If he has the merge idol, he can play it and take out whoever. If he doesn't, I have his jury vote.  

My only fear with taking out Chris is,  If Trey flips to that other side with the way numbers will be, they have 5 with Willow, Trey, Michael, Katelyn, and Kyle. Do I think this group would target me? No not necessarily. I think they would target Molly, and Trey might be okay with that. 

I'm not willing to give up Molly this soon. Would he be mad at me if I idoled her? Most likely. He will think it's a sign that I want to work with her more than I do him, then I potentially lose him. Is it worth losing him to keep 3 strong allies in the game, that I feel will take me to the final 3? 

Ehhh...I kinda think so. At that point, he reveals his hand. He will have Angelica, Genki, and Molly gunning for him, so it's in his best interest to at least give me a chance. Problem is, I feel like Molly would put her vote on Michael. Michael will idol. At that point, we would have to split the vote. 3 on Michael (won't count), 2 on Katelyn. Thinking maybe Kyle (assuming he has it) will idol too. Katelyn goes. 

At that point, could Angelica and Genki bring Willow over to come with the numbers? I'd have to spend on that. It'd still be 4 to 4. I think at this point, Michael, Kyle, and Trey will not want to work with me because they will see how well connected I am. My best bet would be to try to being Willow over. Gotta hit her with the good ole, "Come with the numbers and the people who want to work with you Willow; not the people who are just using you for a vote".

At this point Michael would have to go next. I'd still probably throw my vote on Willow just to say to Michael, I am not voting for you, but I can't go against the numbers since I Know people are voting you; but I won't. Maybe at this point, I might have his jury vote. 

Then we'd have Robbie, Molly, Genki, Angelica,  Willow,  Trey, and Kyle left in the game. At this point, I'd have to start looking at the game and see who's good at what. I also dont want to seem like I'm running shit, so all of this is very just thoughts. 

For the first time in this game, I feel like I might have a chance to win this game. I know I can't have tunnel vision and expect things to go my way exactly, but this is a preliminary, just my thoughts kinda plan. 

To recap, my potential boot for tonight is Nikki, no Minaj. 

[robbie]

Boy was I wrong....

That's two times in a row.

Fuck Me.

[robbie]

Okay....let's give this another swing...I have been on the wrong side of the vote so far since merge, but at this point I dont think that's a bad thing. At the end of the day, I still have two people on jury that would give me their vote and I didn't do either of them dirty.

So I assume this will be the schedule for the remainder of the game. 
11/9: double (Final 8)
11/10: Challenge
11/11: Tribal (Final 7)
11/12: Challenge
11/13 Tribal (Final 6)
11/14: Challenge
11/15: Tribal (Final 5)
11/16: Challenge
11/17: Tribal: (Final 4)
11/18: Challenge
11/19: Final 3 FTC


With that being said, I'm willing to work with Michael for these votes, IF he is willing to vote out Nikki after the first vote. As of now, this is the plan. Chris, Trey, and myself  tell OG Maramu (or however you spell it) that it makes more sense for us to vote together to take out an Appari. Willow has already expressed that she thinks they would want it to be Michael. 


So as of now, we plan on telling OG blue tribe that we're voting Michael first, but we're actually voting with Michael and Katelyn to vote out Genki. Now...at this point I could play the what if game and say "What if Appari votes together and they control the vote and we burn Genki. So the 4 of them blindside one of us, OG Koror, and they all vote together and it's a 4-3-3 vote. I think they'd vote out Chris assuming he has the idol, thinking they blindsided Koror with an idol in their pocket. 


Do I think that will happen? idk. I've been blindsided the first two votes. I'm not putting anything past anybody at this point. I think the concern about the Koror idol is what will make Michael and Katelyn flip. 


If they don't flip on us (Trey, myself and Chris), then I think we might have a chance to make it to final 8. If the vote is Genki, and Willow and Angelica both actually vote Michael and tomorrow is a double; if Michael says "Oh now I have to vote with Appari so they dont start targeting me, but I'll leak where the vote is going so you guys can idol correctly", just to try to get us to blow the idol, then I'd try to pull in Willow and Angelica and get them to blind side Michael. 


If they're pissed about Genki, we can say Karma's a bitch. Get over it. Let's vote out Michael for real this time. Then it'd be the following people left, Robbie, Chris, Trey, Nikki, Angelica, Willow, Katelyn, and Kyle. We'd have to bring in Katelyn as a 4th; but at this point we would have just blind sided her closest ally. I'm sure we could recover from it honestly. 


If Michael is actually willing to flip to vote out Nikki (during the second vote) than all of this planning was for nothing...Let's see what happens. 


It's about to be live night baby! LET'S GOOOO! 

[robbie]

Man Oh Man...so many thoughts to share, but I'll share some quick thoughts about how to get to the end of the game. so I dont forget them later.


Potential End Game Plan:

7th place:
Preferably: Michael
Backup: Kyle
To make this happen, I need Trey and Chris to realize how much of a jury threat Michael is. He is a big name that came into this game and he's in final 8! How long can you keep a big target in until they're sitting in FTC and can say that they were a big target from the moment they signed up for this game? Sound like last season's winner? Michael was ranked at the bottom of the list, and still managed to finesse his way to the end. If Michael doesn't win individual immunity tomorrow, then Michael Brady, your time is up sir.

Potential Votes to make it happen:
Robbie, Chris, Trey, Angelica, Willow

6th place:
Preferably: Kyle
Backup: Michael

The goal here is to make Kyle sweat a little. Tell Chris and Trey that Michael had the idol. Make Angelica feel like she's guaranteed a spot in the final 3 with me. Have her vote with Kyle, Kaitlyn, and Willow but TELL ME who the vote is...I use the idol, or give whoever the vote is the idol to use for themselves (so I dont have a target on my back). I'll tell Angelica that it will potentially gain her jury vote with Kyle. She doesn't look like a snake, and it will give her some credit with Chris and Trey and convince her that I DONT want to take either of them to the end.


Potential Vote to make it happen:
Robbie, Chris, Trey - with an idol

5th Place:
Preferably: Chris
Backup: Angelica

If Chris is not immune at this point. I have to take the shot. He will be hard to beat in a final 4 physical comp. He has a great story. I also dont want to split any koror votes with him. 


Potential Vote to make it happen:
Robbie, Angelica, Willow

4th place:
Preferably: Kaitlyn
Backup: Angelica

If Kaitlyn doesn't win individual immunity, which she very well could...she has to go here. She could get all of the Appari votes with Michael Brady advocating for her in Jury. She has played a good game, but let's see how this goes!

I want to go to the end with my boy Trey. We have been in this thing from the beginning. Idc who else is there with us. I just dont want it to be Chris, Michael, or Kyle. They are my personal biggest threats to win this game.