Episode Eight

[kyle]

When's the best time to post a confessional? After a day where I make zero calls or progress of any kind, of course!

Thanksgiving was chill, and I think everybody took the day as an opportunity to disconnect from the game, which is good for me, because it allows the status quo to stay intact, and I think the status quo benefits me right now.

It looks like Vanua is going to stick to original tribe lines, which means Willow is the swing vote. I feel optimistic that she'll want to vote with OG Aparri, due to fear of OG Koror's numbers and the uncertainty of where their idol is. So, numerically, things should work out for me.

The biggest issue (as long as none of Willow, Kaitlyn, or Michael flip) is the possibility of an idol. OG Koror can probably pick up on the fact that it makes sense for Willow to side with us, so they have a one-in-three shot of playing an idol correctly if they have one. That shot becomes one-in-two if you take away Trey, which I think they will, since he has ties to Kaitlyn and Michael, thus making us less likely to target him. So, if any of them do have an idol, they have great odds of playing it right.

I think they're also expecting us to try and mislead them about where we're voting, so any reverse psychology we try could backfire on us. So, my goal is just to make sure it doesn't backfire on me. If I lose an ally here, it wouldn't be the end of the world.

To keep myself as safe as possible, I need to present myself as a viable option to someone on the OG Koror side who I think would vouch for me. Right now, I think that person could be anyone, since I think I'm on similar footing with all of them. I'll keep putting in my social work, hoping that at least one of them grows to love me as an option.

OG Koror doesn't have to vote with me; they just have to not vote against me. As long as I survive the next couple votes, it isn't super important to me what happens, although I would prefer to be on the right side of things if I can have my cake and eat it too.

If I can't eat it, I'll put it in the fridge and save it for later. Then, down the road, I'll take the cake back out and be all like "Remember this, bitch?" and eat it then, and they'll be all like "The cake! How could we have been so blind?" and I'll be all like "Mmmmm," because the cake is good.

I lost the metaphor, I'm sorry.

[kyle]

Be warned: I burp at the 1:14 mark.

[kyle]

All my ducks should be in a row for this vote. OG Aparri and Willow are supposedly going to vote together against one of Molly or Chris. Michael wants to try to flip Trey so that we can split 3-2-2. I think that could be a possibility, since the vibe I've gotten from Trey is that he truly does want to jump ship on OG Koror in the near future.

My biggest fear is an idol, because it seems so obvious that OG Koror's target is Michael that it just can't be true. I worry that they're trying to misdirect us in case we have anything, and their true target could be me. My goal today is to get a read on whether that's a legitimate fear, or just me overthinking.

If OG Koror does whip out an idol, and I feel like their target is me, I have a super loose plan to maybe get them to not play their idol. I would unmute just before they play it, and bluff that I have one as well. If the person with the idol believes that I could cause a zero-vote tribal, and that we would vote the idol holder out 4-3 on the revote, they may hold onto the idol and let an ally go. Seeing that typed out is MESSY, and I hope it's not something I have to do. It's a last resort plan, so it probably won't come into play, but I like to have a worst-case-scenario mapped out just in case I need it.

Realistically, I'll probably be okay. I've given all the OG Korors individual reasons to want to keep me, so I don't think they'll want to vote me out here. If I do have to lose Michael, that sucks, but I can come back from it. Ideally, we take out an OG Koror here, not because I care about them having numbers, but because it keeps my allies happy.